1000 Guineas – a comprehensive antepost preview

Introduction

Welcome to our companion article to our 2000 Guineas analysis, published a week ago.

In stark contrast to the betting for the 2000 Guineas, where the market has struggled to identify a favourite over the winter, the 1000 Guineas market Is built around one horse: Ballydoyle's Precise, currently trading at a best-price 3/1. At the time we published our 2000 Guineas study, all of the top three horses in the betting for the first Classic of the season could be backed at 10/1. So these are two very different markets.

Before we go into further detail, we would like to remind readers that almost every horse in this list also has an entry in the French 1000 Guineas ("Prix d'Essai des Pouliches"), which is run at Longchamp eight days after the English version. Running in both races has been done but only rarely, so punters should be mindful of the possibility of almost any horse in this analysis being diverted to Paris, for all that such a target will be more likely for some horses than others. We point out these double entries in each case in our horse-by-horse analysis below.

Doubts over short-priced favourite...

We don't have any argument with Precise heading the betting for this race but would argue that 3/1 is skinny two months out. On the one hand the stable's record in this race has declined in recent years: after a stunning 2016-2021, in which Ballydoyle took home the trophy five years out of the six, the last four years have seen a relative drought, with runners for the stable finishing 3-8-6-5-6. That's nothing like as bad as the 2000 Guineas collapse (see the introduction to our analysis of this race for detail) but we still remain doubtful about Aidan O'Brien's fillies being brought to their very peak on the first Sunday in May nowadays.

As another negative, we find it mildly disconcerting that Precise has only beaten one of the next ten horses behind her in the betting on her winning spree. And even that filly (Venetian Sun), beaten 2.5 lengths in the G1 Moyglare Stud Stakes, was unlucky in running and should have finished closer. In particular, we are very leery (as the Americans would say) about the form of the Fillies Mile, the only race in which Precise has looked a standout rather than just the best filly on the day.

...but also over the trio of other fillies trading at under 20/1

By contrast, we would be fairly certain that – bar a setback, although that is something that can strike a filly from this yard between their 2yo and 3yo seasons – Precise is going to run at Newmarket. This cannot be said about the only other horses trading at below 20/1 in the betting, all of whom have question marks of one kind or another, above and beyond the Pouliches entry.

Second favourite Diamond Necklace is not impossible to join Precise on the flight across the Irish Sea on 3 May, but surely Paris a week later beckons for the former after her Marcel Boussac win in the French capital last October. As an additional question mark, this half-sister to Magic Wand, Chicquita and Enemy will stay further than a mile, and the French or English Oaks is surely when she will be asked to peak this season. Her price of 8/1 factors these doubts in to some extent, but without being attractive to us.

Based purely on her body of form, Venetian Sun is well overpriced on her achievements at 14/1 – we very much doubt that any other horse in the antepost betting for this race would have beaten Gstaad in the Prix Morny, and (as outlined above) we think her Moyglare Stud run needs upgrading – but neither we nor (much more importantly) her trainer is convinced that she will be at her best stretched out to a mile. Karl Burke is waiting on her work to tell him which road to go down, and only high-risk punters will want to make that decision before the master of Spigot Lodge.

Finally, toss out the BC Juvenile Turf Sprint over 5 furlongs at Del Mar (completely the wrong race, as her trainer has since admitted), and True Love has form that is just as good as Precise's. And no, that's not just our opinion – this argument was also effectively put forward by the panel of European handicappers when they crowned her 2025 European Champion 2yo Filly (jointly, with stablemate Precise) back in in January.

The problem is that this daughter of No Nay Never is also a doubtful stayer over a mile. In a recent press conference, Aidan O'Brien posited the idea of running her over a Guineas trial to see how she fares before making a target race decision. While such a move would be doubly welcome (aside from the fact-finding mission, we strongly believe Ballydoyle's horses benefit from a Guineas prep nowadays), it also poses a conundrum for punters: a successful trial and a ticket booked to Newmarket would go hand in hand with a price collapse. Here we can see a reasonable case for jumping the gun very speculatively at 18/1.

Bookmakers taking few chances with big yards

Below the first four in the market come a dozen filles either with decent form in the book or a could-be-anything profile based on just one run. We consider most of the latter to be very defensively priced by bookmakers. For Abashiri to be no higher than 25/1 is understandable as Charlie Appleby's sole entry (for all that we think this one is primarily an Oaks rather than a Guineas filly), but the fillies entered by the Gosden and Beckett stables in particular are surely priced on those illustrious training names rather than the horses' own achievements in racking up one maiden win. The name Graffard also has bookmakers running a bit scared to our eye (Valasara, Pintara), whereas we are surprised by the chance they have taken with the single entry from that other big beast of French flat racing, Andre Fabre (My Highness, 33/1).

Finally, the filles at the very bottom of our list contain a number of outsider threats: much more so than the sexier once-raced types in the middle of the betting order, in our view. We think there are some very interesting entrants here.

Of the many horses trading at 50/1, we have selected just two for inclusion this study, based on our own preferences. There are over 30 other entries trading at 50/1 or greater who have not made our list, and it goes without saying that any of these may make the vital quantum leap to the big time over the next eight weeks. But we had to chose a cut-off point somewhere.

We hope you are as excited about this race as we are. As with the 2000 Guineas study, we look forward to reading your comments.

Happy reading.

Daniel Morgan The AntePoster

Current betting for the 1000 Guineas on 3 May 2026

Precise (3/1)

Starspangledbanner / Way To My Heart (Galileo)

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Form: 21111 RPR: 114 Timeform: 113p

Analysis: Not that heavily fancied on debut when 2nd at Fairyhouse in July (started 6/1); got off the mark in another maiden race at Cork in August, then narrowly took G2 Vintage Stakes at Goodwood later that month. None of this marked her out as a top-drawer filly, but she then produced a minor upset as third favourite to win the G1 Moyglare Stakes on Irish Champions Weekend. Nor did there appear to be any fluke about this victory, as she quickened from mid-pack off a slow pace.

Precise finally started a race as favourite for the first time in her career in the G1 Fillies Mile, where she made short work of the field to surge clear in the final furlong before being geared down as the line approached. Denied a hat-trick of G1 wins when withdrawn from Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies on the eve of that race due to coughing.

In our view, 3/1 feels like a defensive offering on the part of the bookmakers two months' out from the race. While her Fillies Mile performance was impressive on the eye, Precise did not beat a major 1000 Guineas player in that race, nor does she boast any significant ratings advantage over a number of rivals for the first fillies' Classic.

Status: In a press conference in which the European 2yo ratings were unveiled, Aidan O'Brien commented that "Precise would probably start in the Guineas". Has been given a French 1000 Guineas entry too, but it seems clear that O'Brien is primarily looking at Newmarket.

Diamond Necklace (8/1)

St Mark's Basilica / Prudenzia (Dansili)

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Form: 111 RPR: 110 Timeform: 109p

Analysis: Won on debut at The Curragh in August when completely unfancied to do so (9/1), then followed up in a listed race on Irish Champions Weekend when emphatically fancied to do so at odds of 1/2 ("won going away, easily"). She was then the stable's chosen representative for the G1 Prix Marcel Boussac on Arc weekend, where she once again justified favouritism to see off Christopher Head's highly-regarded (and previously unbeaten) Green Spirit.

At the unveiling of the European ratings for 2024, senior BHA handicapper Graeme Smith commented: "I don't think Diamond Necklace got anything like the same conditions [last season] to show the true extent of her ability [compared to Precise]. She is only 2lb behind, so I think she probably has a bit more up her sleeve." The question mark over this filly, however, is her participation at Newmarket (see below), which is unlikely to be her key early-season target (she is favourite for both the Epsom Oaks and the French equivalent, the Prix Diane). Given this backdrop, 8/1 does not appeal at all, even though she would be markedly shorter if pointed to Newmarket.

Status: Aidan O'Brien on 19 January: "Diamond Necklace is lovely. It's possible that she could do that or she could go to a French Guineas, because she won the Boussac...I would imagine [she] will probably start at a mile and we’ll see where we go after that."

Venetian Sun (14/1

Starman / Johara (Iffraaj)

Trainer: Karl Burke

Form: 11113 RPR: 108 Timeform: 110p

Analysis: Won on debut over 5f at Carlisle in May and followed that up with another victory in the 6f Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot on her second start. Then reappeared the following month in the 6f Duchess of Cambridge Stakes at Newmarket's July meeting, where she won by a head from Royal Fixation (pair clear, runner-up would subsequently win the G2 Lowther Stakes at York). This was impressive enough, but the best was yet to come as the daughter of Starman then headed to Deauville and won the G1 Prix Morny (again over 6 furlongs) from crack 2yo colts Gstaad and Wise Approach (both subsequent G1 winners). Venetian Sun's final race last year was in the 7f Moyglare Stud Stakes at The Curragh on Irish Champions Weekend, where she could only finish 3rd to Precise on her first encounter with yielding ground and a trip longer than 7 furlongs. We are not sure either of those new aspects explain her first and only defeat to date: she failed to get a clear run after being trapped behind horses, so the 2.5-length deficit at the winning post deserves to be upgraded.

On the balance of her form, Venetian Sun stands out as overpriced at 14/1, as her only defeat at The Curragh can be clearly marked up. However, she is not a bet at this stage as the mile remains a question mark even for her trainer (see below).

Status: Karl Burke has informed The AntePoster that Venetian Sun will be targeted at the 1000 Guineas, but at the same time pointed out that her work over the next few weeks would tell him if this talented filly is a miler or a sprinter. A Guineas run is therefore not set in stone. Entered in the French 1000 Guineas too.

True Love (18/1)

No Nay Never / Alluringly (Fastnet Rock)

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Form: 2211218 RPR: 112 Timeform: 111

Analysis: One of the star 2yo fillies of 2024; beaten on debut in a listed race in May by the precocious Lady Iman (had already won on debut); failed to justify odds-on favouritism in a maiden race at Navan just 12 days later but only beaten 0.75 lengths by Gstaad, arguably the top juvenile colt of last season; made no mistake when comfortably winning the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot; put five lengths between herself and subsequent dual-G1 winner Puerto Rico in the G2 Railway Stakes at The Curragh in July; beaten 1.5 lengths at 1/4 by the colt Power Blue in the G1 Phoenix Stakes at the same venue in August, then fought off Havana Anna and Royal Fixation to win the G1 Cheveley Park at Newmarket in late September. Ended season with a disappointing 8th in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Sprint at Del Mar in November, in which she dwelt at the start and then had a wide trip (Timeform: "late headway, had a hopeless task from position"). Rated Europe’s Champion Juvenile Filly (tied with Precise) by European handicappers.

True Love is a fascinating prospect in this antepost market. On the one hand, with her 2yo sprint campaign and as a daughter of No Nay Never she doesn't look an obvious fit for the step up to a mile. On the other, there is plenty of stamina on the dam side, and it is clear that Aidan O'Brien regretted not running her in the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf over a mile, rather than the "sprint dash" equivalent to which she looked ill-suited. We think the jury is out, and while she wouldn't be a certain Guineas contender at this stage, the fact that her trainer is looking at a Guineas prep (with all the fitness benefits that entails, quite aside from the stamina clues such a test would throw up) makes this G1 winner look overpriced at 18/1.

Status: Aidan O'Brien in late January: “She's lovely, she's done very well and we could think about starting at seven furlongs in Leopardstown or in one of the British trials at Newbury or somewhere like that, and see if there would be a chance that she would get a mile. If that was the case, obviously she'll go down the Guineas route. If we thought not, then she'd obviously go the sprinting route. But she’s a big, powerful, strong filly really, and has done very well over the winter.” Also entered in the French 1000 Guineas.

Zanthos (20/1)

Sioux Nation / Brioniya (Pivotal)

Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford

Form: 121 RPR: 105 Timeform: 107p

Analysis: Most lightly raced of the fillies at the top of the betting for this market, with all three runs coming over 7 furlongs. Easy winner on debut at Newmarket (4/5 favourite), then second to the highly-regarded Touleen in a novices race at Leicester in September, albeit beaten three lengths. Stepped up markedly on those efforts to win the G2 Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket by half a length from The Prettiest Star (unraced since), the pair well clear.

Zanthos is not easy to weigh up. On the one hand she is a lightly raced G2 winner over the Rowley Mile. On the other the Rockfel was a rather unsatisfactory race, with only her and Touleen coming up the stands rail, and as the latter was later found to have had a health issue that day it's not impossible the winner had a track advantage. 20/1 doesn't appeal to us given a lack of certainty over her Guineas engagement (see below), so her next race will be a crucial pointer in her development.

Status: Gainsborough stud commented to The AntePoster on 22 February as follows: "[Zanthos] is in full training but we are not likely to decide until April whether she will be targeted at the Guineas or not." Also entered in the French 1000 Guineas.

Valasara 20/1)

Hello Youmzain / Valdaya (Acclamation)

Trainer: Francis-Henri Graffard

Form: 11 RPR: 88 Timeform: 93

Analysis: Lightly-raced, unbeaten filly, whose only racecourse appearances last year were a 6-furlong maiden at Deauville in early July (justified 9/5 favouritism, form nondescript) and a narrow win in a listed race over 5 furlongs at the same track a month later. Here she was only a neck clear of a useful but hardly top-drawer juvenile of Archie Watson's, Shine On Me (4th and 3rd in two tries at G2/G3 level in Britain).

This filly looks priced up as if bookmakers are running scared of France's leading trainer rather than based on anything his charge has done on the racetrack. Unexposed and may have plenty more to give, but she holds no interest for us at 20/1, not least as she is not known to be targeting this race, and hasn't run over anything but sprint distances so far.

Status: We are not aware of any recent newsflow for this horse, but in addition to her English Guineas entry she is also entered in the French equivalent, the Prix d'Essai des Pouliches.

Pintara (25/1)

Pinatubo / Abilene (Samum)

Trainer: Francis-Henri Graffard

Form: 11 RPR: 97 Timeform: 101p

Analysis: Raced twice for Ralph Beckett last season, both times over a mile, winning on debut at Salisbury then backing up with an impressive 3.5-length win in a listed race over Newmarket's Rowley Mile in early November.

Difficult to crab an unbeaten record, particularly with her powerful black-type win last time out, but it's impossible to gauge the merit of that performance (form untested), while the form of her previous maiden win looks truly dreadful in the rear-view mirror. More importantly, this filly looks to be more of a middle-distance project (dam side packed with stamina and has Irish Oaks entry) and to add to the Rowley Mile doubt she's now no longer UK-based (see below). No appeal at 25/1.

Status: No information on running plans. Acquired by Resolute Racing at the start of the year and transferred to top French trainer Francis-Henry Graffard. Also has an entry for the French Guineas.

Simply Astounding (25/1)

Wootton Bassett / Minding (Galileo)

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Form: 15 RPR: 86 Timeform: 90p

Analysis: Bred to be extremely smart (half-sister to Henry Longfellow) and easily justified favouritism on debut at Naas in late April (form looks decent: only horse to get near her would go on to finish second to both Balantina and Precise). However, she didn't step forward on her next run in a strong Group 3 race at The Curragh, which contained the likes of Lady Iman, Green Sense and Signora, finishing a very disappointing 5th of 6 and beaten more than eight lengths. However, she may well have had a genuine excuse, as Ryan Moore "felt the filly had taken a bad step leaving the stalls". Unraced since.

Nothing this filly has done makes her an appealing bet for the 1000 Guineas at 25/1. She has no strong body of form, hasn't seen a racecourse since May, and her wellbeing is unknown (to us at least). That said, it's worth noting that Simply Astounding was the stable's intended filly for the Albany prior to her Naas flop, so she will be a crucial one to monitor on her return to the racetrack.

Status: We are unaware of any newsflow relating to this horse in recent months. Also has a French Guineas entry.

The Prettiest Star (25/1)

Starman / Ediyva (Kingman)

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Form: 12 RPR: 104 Timeform: 105p

Analysis: Well fancied on debut over 6 furlongs at Nottingham (started 15/8 in a field of nine) and duly bolted up by 4.5 lengths, although the form of the race has not been complimented by the subsequent efforts of the beaten horses. Off the back of that effort she was sent straight into pattern class company in the G2 Rockfel Stakes, where she was only co-fourth favourite in the betting at 12/1 but stayed on strongly to give the winner Zanthos all that one could handle, ultimately going down by just a neck, the pair well clear (race also very impressive on the clock). It's also worth noting that the Crisfords' Rockfel winner had the benefit of the rail that day, with The Prettiest Star being the only filly to emerge from the main pack to challenge.

We consider this Starman filly one of the intriguing dark horses in this antepost market with any amount of upside, and wouldn't be pricing her up at 25/1 if we had to play bookmaker.

Status: No newsflow. Has a French Guineas entry too.

Royal Fixation (25/1)

Palace Pier / Fixette (Kodiac)

Trainer: Karl Burke

Form: 1213 RPR: 105 Timeform: 105

Analysis: Raced four times as a 2yo for Ed Walker, exclusively over six furlongs on good/firm ground. Her first outing saw her win a novice race at Thirsk in mid-June, following which she was upped markedly in grade to contest the G2 Duchess of Cambridge Stakes at Newmarket's July Meeting, where she proved her odds of 14/1 all wrong by only just failing to reel in the top-class Venetian Sun (G3 Albany Stakes winner previously, G1 Prix Morny winner next time out). Didn't need to improve on that to win the G2 Lowther Stakes at York in August, then rounded off her 2025 campaign by finishing third to True Love in the G1 Cheveley Park Stakes in late September.

Solid body of juvenile form, but we don't like her as a Guineas filly any more than the 25/1 offered by bookmakers would imply. According to both Timeform and Racing Post ratings, Royal Fixation plateaued after her quantum leap in form in the Duchess of Cambridge, and she would also be a doubtful improver at a mile, two furlongs further than she has ever run (Kodiac-sired dam has produced nothing but sprinters). Last but not least, she wouldn't be certain to target the Guineas (see below).

Status: Was acquired by new owners over the winter and moved to the stable of Karl Burke. Shortly after this purchase, Ace Stud racing manager Paul Curran commented as follows: “We could have Guineas ambitions but we haven’t made a definitive decision on where we go – it’s a possibility obviously and she could be one to go for something like that. If not I’m sure we’ll do plenty of campaigning with her in and around six and seven furlongs. She looks an exciting filly for sure.” Has been given an English Guineas entry since, but not a French entry.

Abashiri (25/1)

Frankel / Sobetsu (Dubawi)

Trainer: Charlie Appleby

Form: 1 RPR: 85 Timeform: 90p

Analysis: The most prominent Godolphin filly in the betting, Abashiri has raced just once, taking a Kempton all-weather maiden in style in early November by four lengths. What she beat that day is questionable, but how she did it is not: the time of the race was 0.7 seconds quicker than the 1m handicap on the card, quicker overall than that of leading 2000 Guineas hope Talk Of New York recorded a few weeks earlier, while her last two furlongs were also quicker than that colt's, for all that comparisons of times on different days need to be treated with caution.

Either way, this is one exciting filly and a leading Classic prospect for Godolphin. However, the most obvious Classic in question on both breeding and stride data is not the first fillies' Classic on the Rowley Mile, but the 10.5-furlong Prix de Diane (French Oaks) or 12-furlong Epsom Oaks, for which she is already third favourite. Whether or not she takes in the 1000 Guineas along the way is an unknown, despite the recent entry (has also been entered in the French equivalent).

Status: We are unaware of any recent newsflow on this horse. William Buick commented as follows after her debut run: "I really liked the way she did it, and she’s got plenty of scope going into next year. She came here ready to have a run, and it’s nice to go into the winter off the back of that." Has the French Guineas entry too.

Pacific Mission (25/1)

Lope de Vega / Big Break (Dansili)

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Form: 6122 RPR: 105 Timeform: 102

Analysis: Well beaten in a novice stakes race at Ascot over 6 furlongs in July, but improved markedly to win a 7-furlong novice stakes races on the all-weather at Kempton three weeks later. Stepped up again in the G2 May Hill at Doncaster in September, going down 0.75 lengths to Aylin despite racing inefficiently (dwelt at start, raced keenly). Was also slow out of the blocks in the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf at Del Mar on her final start, but closed strongly to take the runner-up spot, just 1.25 lengths behind winner Balantina.

Interesting filly who could make noise in the 3yo mile division this year. 25/1 looks fair until there is clarity over her participation.

Status: Andrew Balding wouldn't be pinned down on whether Pacific Mission would be targeted at the Guineas when interviewed by Matt Chapman in the aftermath of the Del Mar race ("yeah, potentially...it's early days, that's a long way away..."). She does now have Guineas entries for both Newmarket and Paris.

Beautify (33/1)

Wootton Bassett / Words (Dansili)

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien

Form: 3128 RPR: 107 Timeform: 108

Analysis: Rapidly emerged as one of Ballydoyle's top 2yo fillies last year: solid 3rd on debut over 6 furlongs at The Curragh to subsequent G1-winning Balantina, impressive winner of the G2 Airlie Stud Stakes on her second start over the same C&D (runner-up Lady Iman ran out comfortable winner of the G3 Molecombe Stakes at Goodwood next time out), then finished just 0.75 lengths behind Precise in the G1 Moyglare Stud (7 furlongs) on Irish Champions Weekend. However, she flopped badly on her final start in the G1 Cheveley Park at Newmarket, finishing 8th of 9 and beaten more than 12 lengths.

Forgive this daughter of Wootton Bassett her one bad run and she stands out as one of the best juveniles of last year. Can that be forgiven though? On the one hand it's interesting to note that the Cheveley Park was Beautify's only run on good-to-firm ground (as well as being a step down in trip), so quite possibly she had an excuse on this occasion. On the other, she might not have cared for the undulations of the Rowley Mile, which would be an obvious red flag with the 1000 Guineas in mind. All things considered, 25/1 looks fair until early season running plans are known.

Status: We have no newsflow on this filly. Not mentioned by Aidan O'Brien when talking to the media about his 3yo crop on 20 January. Also has the French Guineas entry.

My Highness (33/1)

Ghaiyyath / Majestic Queen (Kheleyf)

Trainer: Andre Fabre

Form: 2111 RPR: 108 Timeform:

Analysis: Short-head runner-up on debut in May, but that was one of the hottest 2yo maidens run anywhere in Europe last year (winner Green Spirit was only narrowly beaten by Diamond Necklace in the G1 Prix Marcel Boussac on Arc day). Then contested a conditions race at Saint-Cloud in June, narrowly seeing off subsequent G3 winner Rhiyanna. Reappeared after a short break in early August to win another conditions race, this time over 7.5 furlongs at Deauville, which she won easily, then reappeared at the same venue later that month, comfortably landing the G2 Prix du Calvados (7 furlongs) from G3 Princess Margaret winner Fitzella. Was considered for the Fillies Mile in October, but Fabre ultimately decided not to make the journey.

This trainer knows what it takes to win the 1000 Guineas (as well as pretty much everything else), and My Highness's entry in the race this week is eye-catching, not least as the only other Godolphin entry is Abashiri for Charlie Appleby. Fascinating contender and looks overpriced at 33/1, even allowing for the fact that she is based in Franche and also entered in the French equivalent (Prix d'Essai des Pouliches, Abashiri also entered there).

Status: We are not aware of any newsflow on this horse. Doubly entered in both English and French Guineas; it's very rare for a filly to do both, nor would that be Fabre's style.

Black Caviar Gold (33/1)

Havana Grey / Perfect Outing (Outstrip)

Trainer: Paddy Twomey

Form: 3411 RPR: 102 Timeform: 100p

Analysis: Four 2yo runs, all over 7 furlongs. Well-beaten on debut at Galway (yielding) in late July, then beaten same distance (7 lengths) in her next maiden outing at Cork in August (good), but worth noting that the winner of that race was a certain filly named Precise. Got off the mark at the third time of asking at the same venue in September (soft), winning by three lengths from two fillies who have both won since. Then tackled pattern company later that month in the G3 Weld Stakes at the Curragh, again winning easily (second and third have won since, fourth was placed in a G3).

Big, progressive filly who has been on a steep upward trajectory since her undistinguished debut. Fairly priced at 33/1, as while she has never beaten any of the horses in the antepost betting for this race, she hasn't had an opportunity to do so since taking her form to group-class level. One to watch.

Status: We are not aware of recent newsflow for this horse. Entered in Irish, French and English Guineas.

Fashion People (33/1)

Mehmas / Fashion's Star (Sea The Stars)

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Form: 1 RPR: 75 Timeform: 84p

Analysis: Early foal (January '23), but nothing early about her debut, which didn't come until November last year when she made light work of a maiden race on the all-weather track at Newcastle. The time was very slow, but the only horse to finish anywhere near her, Heart Beats True from the Hugo Palmer stable, won comfortably next time out before then regressing by finishing second-last in a handicap.

Ranks way down the league table on form rankings in this market, having achieved very little, and in that sense it's a bit of a headscratcher why she is entered here at all. We don't see 33/1 as appealing, while accepting that any entrant from this powerful stable needs to be taken seriously, even if it's been a while since it had any success in the 1000 Guineas (Laban won it in 2000, Starscope finished a distant 2nd in 2012).

Status: No newsflow of which we are aware. Has the French Guineas entry too.

K Sarra (33/1)

New Bay / Parnell's Dream (Oasis Dream)

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Form: 1 RPR: 81 Timeform: 85p

Analysis: Raced just the once at the end of 2024, winning a 14-runner fillies novice stakes at Southwell over a mile. The time was nothing special and the form looks weak.

33/1 is most unappealing on the basis of her single piece of form, for all that she won well and her trainer is a dab hand with top fillies. As another negative, this one's breeding points to further than a mile being ideal this year (half-siblings include Pride of Arras, much better over further than a mile, while the dam and other progeny are all middle-distance types or stayers).

Status: No newsflow of which we are aware. Only has English Guineas entry.

Serenetta (33/1)

Kingman / Emulous (Dansili)

Trainer: Ralph Beckett

Form: 31 RPR: 80 Timeform: 79p

Analysis: Beautifully bred, but that virtue hardly impressed the market when she made her debut over 7 furlongs a Newmarket in November (went off at a lowly 8/1). However, she finished with an eye-catching run to take 3rd in that race (form largely untested). Duly started 8/13 favourite in a novice stakes race at Kempton in early December, where she justified her price by seeing off a promising Godolphin/Appleby rival, although that one has regressed since.

Yet another unbeaten filly with mediocre form who we find it difficult to get excited about at 33/1. That said, this girl is truly bred in the purple (Kingman filly, half-sister to both Bluestocking and Qirat on the dam side) and we will watch her next outing like a hawk.

Status: No newsflow of which we are aware. Has the French Guineas entry too.

Hope Queen (40/1)

Night Of Thunder / Motion (Invincible Spirit)

Trainer: Karl Burke

Form: 11 RPR: 90 Timeform: 92p

Analysis: Well-backed to win a small-field novice stakes race at Beverley in June (duly obliged by almost 3 lengths as 4/6 favourite) and was then stepped up to listed class at Newbury in late July. Here she was only 5th in the betting at 15/2 (field of 8), but defied the market to win well. This performance was all the more meritorious because Hope Queen was denied a run for much of the straight and surged to the front impressively when in the clear. Both the second and third finished well behind Precise at Goodwood next time out, however.

To our eyes this filly looks a bit overpriced at 40/1. She's unbeaten and was value for much more than the winning margin of victory on her second start. That said, she's yet another with an entry in the French Guineas.

Status: In a phone call on 24 February, Karl Burke informed The AntePoster that Hope Queen was very much in the Guineas mix but would have both and English and a French Guineas entry. That is now the case.

Calendar Girl (40/1)

Advertise / Plucky Lass (Medaglia d'Oro)

Trainer: Owen Burrows

Form: 1211 RPR: 99 Timeform: 100p

Analysis: Easy winner of 7-furlong maiden at Newbury in July (G/F), then narrowly beaten at odds-on in a novice stakes race over same trip at Epsom in August (winner was receiving 7lb and has won a G2 race since). Scooped a huge pot in a Weatherby's stakes race over 6.5 furlongs at Doncaster in September, seeing off a number of talented colts. Rounded off season by winning the 7-furlong G3 Oh So Sharp Stakes on the Rowley Mile in October, narrowly seeing off the challenge of Andrew Balding's Mubasimah.

The only defeat in this filly's four-race 2yo season also looks good in the rear-view mirror, so we consider her in the mix at this stage and slightly overpriced at 40/1.

Status: Has a French Guineas entry too. However, on 24 February Owen Burrows gave The AntePoster the clear impression that he would be aiming Calendar Girl at the English Guineas if happy with her development, potentially giving her a prep run before at either Newmarket or Newbury.

Touleen (40/1)

Lope de Vega / Talaayeb (Dansili)

Trainer: Owen Burrows

Form: 115 RPR: 92 Timeform: 94

Analysis: Raced three times in August/September last year, in each case over 7 furlongs. Caught the eye on debut when comfortably dismissing the challenge of 9 other maidens. The daughter of Lope de Vega was even more impressive next time out in a novice stakes race at Leicester, bounding clear from the talented Zanthos by more than 3 lengths despite getting upset in the stalls. Finished a well-beaten fifth on her final start in the G2 Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket, which saw her drift markedly in the betting for this race.

In our view, this filly is one of the most overpriced in this antepost market at 40/1. She didn't appear to travel comfortably in the Rockfel at any point, with Burrows being unhappy with her running as early as the first furlong of the race. Unsurprising, she scoped dirty in the aftermath, making it clear that all was not right in Touleen's inner world. Put a line through that race and her form deserves to make her a fraction of her current odds.

Status: Has a French Guineas entry too. As was the case for Calendar Girl, however, Owen Burrows gave The AntePoster the clear impression that he would be aiming Touleen at the English Guineas if happy with her development, with a potential prep run at either Newmarket or Newbury.

Mubasimah (50/1)

Frankel / Mubtasimah (Dark Angel)

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Form: 12 RPR: 98 Timeform: 99p

Analysis: Completely unfancied on debut at Newmarket in late September when she made all in a fillies maiden at 11/1. Then stepped up into G3 company in the Oh So Sharp Stakes over C&D where she almost repeated the trick, finishing well clear of her rivals bar the favourite and winner Calendar Girl.

This is clearly a talented filly who needs monitoring in the run-up to the Guineas. What was particularly impressive about Mubasimah's second run was her relative inexperience compared to the winner, and there is every reason to anticipate further improvement. 50/1 looks quite big.

Status: On 24 February Andrew Balding told The AntePoster that a 1000 Guineas entry for Mubasimah was possible but not certain. The fact that the entry has now been made should therefore be seen as a vote of confidence, but equally this filly also has an entry in the French equivalent.

Aylin (50/1)

St Mark's Basilica / Angelic Light (Dark Angel)

Trainer: Karl Burke

Form: 21315 RPR: 99 Timeform: 103

Analysis: Narrowly defeated on debut at York (6f, good) but clearly came with a reputation as started 8/11 favourite. Justified favouritism on her next start at Glorious Goodwood (7f, heavy) later in the month by a 3-length margin (form strong, multiple subsequent winners). Third to Precise over C&D three weeks later on very different ground (G/F), then won the G2 May Hill in September from Pacific Mission, who would later finish second in the G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. Finished 5th of 8 when upped to G1 company in the Prix Marcel Boussac at Longchamp to close out her campaign.

This filly has a solid body of juvenile form in which the only real negatives are a pair of 2.5-length defeats to arguably the two best fillies of last season, Precise and Diamond Necklace. Emphatically not out of this if she has improved over the winter, looks overpriced at 50/1.

Status: In a phone call on 24 February, Karl Burke informed The AntePoster that Aylin was in the Guineas mix but would have both and English and a French Guineas entry. That is now the case.